BundesligaScheduled
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 10, 4:30 PM · Opel Arena
Predicted score
Confidence 42%2-2
1. FSV Mainz 05 53%Draw 19%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 28%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes
1. FSV Mainz 05 go into this match 6th in the table, with Bayer 04 Leverkusen sitting 5th. 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 50% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Over their most recent matches, 1. FSV Mainz 05 have picked up 58% of the available points, against 58% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen are scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.3.
How this was predicted
Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.
1. FSV Mainz 05
- Form
- 0.58
- Win Rate
- 0.50
- Goals For Per Game
- 2.50
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.50
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.50
- League Rank
- 6.00
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Form
- 0.58
- Win Rate
- 0.50
- Goals For Per Game
- 2.50
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.25
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.50
- League Rank
- 5.00
Match-wide factors
- League Avg Goals Per Game
- 1.90
- League Home Advantage Factor
- 1.60
- H2h Home Advantage
- 0.00
- Dixon Coles Rho
- -0.10
- Expected Goals Home
- 2.72
- Expected Goals Away
- 2.04
- Sample Size Factor
- 0.80