BundesligaScheduled

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg

Sun, Oct 18, 4:30 PM · BayArena

Predicted score
1-2
Confidence 41%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 28%Draw 22%SC Freiburg 51%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Bayer 04 Leverkusen go into this match 5th in the table, with SC Freiburg sitting 3rd. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 75% for SC Freiburg. Over their most recent matches, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have picked up 58% of the available points, against 83% for SC Freiburg. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while SC Freiburg are scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Form
0.58
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
2.50
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
5.00

SC Freiburg

Form
0.83
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
3.00
Goals Against Per Game
0.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
3.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.90
League Home Advantage Factor
1.60
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.63
Expected Goals Away
2.23
Sample Size Factor
0.80