BundesligaScheduled

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Sat, Oct 10, 4:30 PM · PreZero Arena

Predicted score
4-0
Confidence 75%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 93%Draw 5%Hamburger SV 1%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim go into this match 14th in the table, with Hamburger SV sitting 16th. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 25% of their league games this season, compared with 25% for Hamburger SV. Over their most recent matches, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have picked up 25% of the available points, against 25% for Hamburger SV. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 goals per game, while Hamburger SV are scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Form
0.25
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.75
Goals Against Per Game
2.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
14.00

Hamburger SV

Form
0.25
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
0.50
Goals Against Per Game
3.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
16.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.90
League Home Advantage Factor
1.60
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
4.32
Expected Goals Away
0.59
Sample Size Factor
0.80