Campeonato Brasileiro Série AFinished

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA

Thu, Sep 17, 1:30 AM · Estádio Nilton Santos

Final score
3-2

Half-time 1-1

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 51%
Botafogo FR 51%Draw 26%Grêmio FBPA 23%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Botafogo FR go into this match 14th in the table, with Grêmio FBPA sitting 17th. Botafogo FR have won 31% of their league games this season, compared with 27% for Grêmio FBPA. Over their most recent matches, Botafogo FR have picked up 13% of the available points, against 20% for Grêmio FBPA. Botafogo FR are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.6 goals per game, while Grêmio FBPA are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Botafogo FR

Form
0.13
Win Rate
0.31
Goals For Per Game
1.46
Goals Against Per Game
1.58
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
14.00

Grêmio FBPA

Form
0.20
Win Rate
0.27
Goals For Per Game
1.08
Goals Against Per Game
1.35
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
17.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.38
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.75
Expected Goals Away
1.12
Sample Size Factor
1.00