Campeonato Brasileiro Série AFinished

CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia

Mon, Sep 21, 1:30 AM · Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães

Final score
2-1

Half-time 1-1

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 43%
CA Paranaense 43%Draw 25%EC Bahia 33%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

CA Paranaense go into this match 3rd in the table, with EC Bahia sitting 4th. CA Paranaense have won 48% of their league games this season, compared with 44% for EC Bahia. Over their most recent matches, CA Paranaense have picked up 40% of the available points, against 87% for EC Bahia. CA Paranaense are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.1 goals per game, while EC Bahia are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

CA Paranaense

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.48
Goals For Per Game
1.52
Goals Against Per Game
1.15
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
3.00

EC Bahia

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.44
Goals For Per Game
1.56
Goals Against Per Game
1.22
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
4.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.32
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.78
Expected Goals Away
1.54
Sample Size Factor
1.00