Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

Chapecoense AF vs Cruzeiro EC

Sun, Nov 22, 3:00 AM · Arena Condá

Predicted score
1-2
Confidence 63%
Chapecoense AF 19%Draw 18%Cruzeiro EC 63%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Chapecoense AF go into this match 20th in the table, with Cruzeiro EC sitting 3rd. Chapecoense AF have won 12% of their league games this season, compared with 53% for Cruzeiro EC. Over their most recent matches, Chapecoense AF have picked up 20% of the available points, against 80% for Cruzeiro EC. Chapecoense AF are scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.1 goals per game, while Cruzeiro EC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Chapecoense AF

Form
0.20
Win Rate
0.12
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.06
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
20.00

Cruzeiro EC

Form
0.80
Win Rate
0.53
Goals For Per Game
1.62
Goals Against Per Game
1.41
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
3.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.34
League Home Advantage Factor
1.68
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.56
Expected Goals Away
2.79
Sample Size Factor
1.00