Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

Cruzeiro EC vs EC Bahia

Fri, Nov 6, 3:30 AM · Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 54%
Cruzeiro EC 54%Draw 22%EC Bahia 25%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Cruzeiro EC go into this match 5th in the table, with EC Bahia sitting 7th. Cruzeiro EC have won 48% of their league games this season, compared with 42% for EC Bahia. Over their most recent matches, Cruzeiro EC have picked up 60% of the available points, against 40% for EC Bahia. Cruzeiro EC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while EC Bahia are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Cruzeiro EC

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.48
Goals For Per Game
1.61
Goals Against Per Game
1.48
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

EC Bahia

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.42
Goals For Per Game
1.42
Goals Against Per Game
1.26
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
7.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.42
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.26
Expected Goals Away
1.52
Sample Size Factor
1.00