Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

EC Bahia vs Coritiba FBC

Sat, Nov 21, 11:30 PM · Estádio Governador Roberto Santos

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 72%
EC Bahia 72%Draw 17%Coritiba FBC 11%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Bahia go into this match 6th in the table, with Coritiba FBC sitting 12th. EC Bahia have won 41% of their league games this season, compared with 32% for Coritiba FBC. Over their most recent matches, EC Bahia have picked up 47% of the available points, against 27% for Coritiba FBC. EC Bahia are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Coritiba FBC are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Bahia

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.41
Goals For Per Game
1.47
Goals Against Per Game
1.32
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
6.00

Coritiba FBC

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.32
Goals For Per Game
1.18
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
12.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.34
League Home Advantage Factor
1.68
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.73
Expected Goals Away
1.06
Sample Size Factor
1.00