Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC

Mon, Oct 12, 1:30 AM · Estádio Governador Roberto Santos

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 69%
EC Bahia 69%Draw 18%Mirassol FC 13%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Bahia go into this match 5th in the table, with Mirassol FC sitting 15th. EC Bahia have won 43% of their league games this season, compared with 29% for Mirassol FC. Over their most recent matches, EC Bahia have picked up 80% of the available points, against 53% for Mirassol FC. EC Bahia are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Mirassol FC are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Bahia

Win Rate
0.43
Form
0.80
Goals For Per Game
1.54
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

Mirassol FC

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.18
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
15.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.36
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.63
Expected Goals Away
1.12
Sample Size Factor
1.00