Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC

Thu, Oct 29, 3:30 AM · Estádio Governador Roberto Santos

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 63%
EC Bahia 63%Draw 22%São Paulo FC 16%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Bahia go into this match 5th in the table, with São Paulo FC sitting 10th. EC Bahia have won 43% of their league games this season, compared with 37% for São Paulo FC. Over their most recent matches, EC Bahia have picked up 60% of the available points, against 40% for São Paulo FC. EC Bahia are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 goals per game, while São Paulo FC are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Bahia

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.43
Goals For Per Game
1.47
Goals Against Per Game
1.20
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

São Paulo FC

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.37
Goals For Per Game
1.17
Goals Against Per Game
1.17
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
10.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.34
League Home Advantage Factor
1.63
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.16
Expected Goals Away
1.00
Sample Size Factor
1.00