Campeonato Brasileiro Série AFinished

EC Vitória vs Botafogo FR

Mon, Aug 17, 12:30 AM · Estádio Manoel Barradas

Final score
1-0

Half-time 1-0

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 50%
EC Vitória 16%Draw 22%Botafogo FR 63%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Vitória go into this match 13th in the table, with Botafogo FR sitting 10th. EC Vitória have won 32% of their league games this season, compared with 38% for Botafogo FR. Over their most recent matches, EC Vitória have picked up 27% of the available points, against 67% for Botafogo FR. EC Vitória are scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while Botafogo FR are scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6. Botafogo FR have historically had the upper hand in this specific fixture.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Vitória

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.32
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
13.00

Botafogo FR

Form
0.67
Win Rate
0.38
Goals For Per Game
1.67
Goals Against Per Game
1.57
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
10.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.29
League Home Advantage Factor
0.97
H2h Home Advantage
-0.33
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.02
Expected Goals Away
2.17
Sample Size Factor
0.80