Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

EC Vitória vs Chapecoense AF

Thu, Oct 8, 2:00 AM · Estádio Manoel Barradas

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 51%
EC Vitória 51%Draw 25%Chapecoense AF 24%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Vitória go into this match 13th in the table, with Chapecoense AF sitting 20th. EC Vitória have won 32% of their league games this season, compared with 11% for Chapecoense AF. Over their most recent matches, EC Vitória have picked up 27% of the available points, against 47% for Chapecoense AF. EC Vitória are scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while Chapecoense AF are scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Vitória

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.32
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
13.00

Chapecoense AF

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.11
Goals For Per Game
1.07
Goals Against Per Game
1.96
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
20.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.36
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.82
Expected Goals Away
1.19
Sample Size Factor
1.00