Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

EC Vitória vs Fluminense FC

Sat, Nov 7, 2:00 AM · Estádio Manoel Barradas

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 40%
EC Vitória 33%Draw 27%Fluminense FC 40%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

EC Vitória go into this match 13th in the table, with Fluminense FC sitting 4th. EC Vitória have won 32% of their league games this season, compared with 45% for Fluminense FC. Over their most recent matches, EC Vitória have picked up 33% of the available points, against 20% for Fluminense FC. EC Vitória are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while Fluminense FC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

EC Vitória

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.32
Goals For Per Game
1.10
Goals Against Per Game
1.45
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
13.00

Fluminense FC

Form
0.20
Win Rate
0.45
Goals For Per Game
1.58
Goals Against Per Game
1.26
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
4.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.42
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.38
Expected Goals Away
1.52
Sample Size Factor
1.00