Campeonato Brasileiro Série AFinished

Grêmio FBPA vs Chapecoense AF

Mon, Aug 31, 12:30 AM · Arena do Grêmio · Referee: Fabio Pereira

Final score
3-1

Half-time 2-1

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 52%
Grêmio FBPA 52%Draw 27%Chapecoense AF 22%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: No

Grêmio FBPA go into this match 16th in the table, with Chapecoense AF sitting 20th. Grêmio FBPA have won 26% of their league games this season, compared with 9% for Chapecoense AF. Over their most recent matches, Grêmio FBPA have picked up 27% of the available points, against 33% for Chapecoense AF. Grêmio FBPA are scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Chapecoense AF are scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Grêmio FBPA

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.26
Goals For Per Game
1.04
Goals Against Per Game
1.35
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
16.00

Chapecoense AF

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.09
Goals For Per Game
1.04
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
20.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.31
League Home Advantage Factor
1.15
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.66
Expected Goals Away
1.00
Sample Size Factor
1.00