Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

Grêmio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC

Sun, Oct 18, 10:00 PM · Arena do Grêmio

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 43%
Grêmio FBPA 31%Draw 27%Cruzeiro EC 43%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Grêmio FBPA go into this match 17th in the table, with Cruzeiro EC sitting 6th. Grêmio FBPA have won 25% of their league games this season, compared with 46% for Cruzeiro EC. Over their most recent matches, Grêmio FBPA have picked up 27% of the available points, against 60% for Cruzeiro EC. Grêmio FBPA are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, while Cruzeiro EC are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Grêmio FBPA

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.07
Goals Against Per Game
1.36
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
17.00

Cruzeiro EC

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.46
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
1.43
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
6.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.26
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.32
Expected Goals Away
1.59
Sample Size Factor
1.00