Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia

Thu, Nov 19, 3:30 AM · Arena do Grêmio

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 38%
Grêmio FBPA 35%Draw 28%EC Bahia 38%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Grêmio FBPA go into this match 17th in the table, with EC Bahia sitting 6th. Grêmio FBPA have won 27% of their league games this season, compared with 42% for EC Bahia. Over their most recent matches, Grêmio FBPA have picked up 47% of the available points, against 47% for EC Bahia. Grêmio FBPA are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while EC Bahia are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Grêmio FBPA

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.27
Goals For Per Game
1.12
Goals Against Per Game
1.33
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
17.00

EC Bahia

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.42
Goals For Per Game
1.45
Goals Against Per Game
1.27
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
6.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.31
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.38
Expected Goals Away
1.44
Sample Size Factor
1.00