Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

São Paulo FC vs Santos FC

Sat, Oct 3, 2:00 AM · Estádio do Morumbi

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 46%
São Paulo FC 46%Draw 24%Santos FC 29%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

São Paulo FC go into this match 11th in the table, with Santos FC sitting 8th. São Paulo FC have won 37% of their league games this season, compared with 37% for Santos FC. Over their most recent matches, São Paulo FC have picked up 60% of the available points, against 87% for Santos FC. São Paulo FC are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 goals per game, while Santos FC are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

São Paulo FC

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.37
Goals For Per Game
1.19
Goals Against Per Game
1.11
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
11.00

Santos FC

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.37
Goals For Per Game
1.52
Goals Against Per Game
1.48
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.36
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.86
Expected Goals Away
1.45
Sample Size Factor
1.00