Campeonato Brasileiro Série AScheduled

SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia

Fri, Oct 9, 3:30 AM · Allianz Parque

Predicted score
2-0
Confidence 65%
SE Palmeiras 65%Draw 21%EC Bahia 14%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

SE Palmeiras go into this match 2nd in the table, with EC Bahia sitting 5th. SE Palmeiras have won 57% of their league games this season, compared with 43% for EC Bahia. Over their most recent matches, SE Palmeiras have picked up 60% of the available points, against 80% for EC Bahia. SE Palmeiras are scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 goals per game, while EC Bahia are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

SE Palmeiras

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.57
Goals For Per Game
1.68
Goals Against Per Game
0.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.80
League Rank
2.00

EC Bahia

Form
0.80
Win Rate
0.43
Goals For Per Game
1.54
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.33
League Home Advantage Factor
1.36
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.23
Expected Goals Away
0.97
Sample Size Factor
1.00