ChampionshipScheduled

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC

Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM · University of Bolton Stadium

Predicted score
1-2
Confidence 51%
Bolton Wanderers FC 29%Draw 21%Stoke City FC 51%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Bolton Wanderers FC go into this match 15th in the table, with Stoke City FC sitting 8th. Bolton Wanderers FC have won 38% of their league games this season, compared with 50% for Stoke City FC. Over their most recent matches, Bolton Wanderers FC have picked up 40% of the available points, against 87% for Stoke City FC. Bolton Wanderers FC are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 goals per game, while Stoke City FC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Bolton Wanderers FC

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.38
Goals For Per Game
1.38
Goals Against Per Game
1.88
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
15.00

Stoke City FC

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
1.63
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.46
League Home Advantage Factor
1.33
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.81
Expected Goals Away
2.40
Sample Size Factor
1.00