ChampionshipScheduled
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC
Sat, Oct 17, 5:00 PM · iPro Stadium
Predicted score
Confidence 62%1-2
Derby County FC 16%Draw 21%Stoke City FC 62%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes
Derby County FC go into this match 22nd in the table, with Stoke City FC sitting 8th. Derby County FC have won 13% of their league games this season, compared with 50% for Stoke City FC. Over their most recent matches, Derby County FC have picked up 27% of the available points, against 87% for Stoke City FC. Derby County FC are scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Stoke City FC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5.
How this was predicted
Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.
Derby County FC
- Form
- 0.27
- Win Rate
- 0.13
- Goals For Per Game
- 0.88
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.75
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.20
- League Rank
- 22.00
Stoke City FC
- Form
- 0.87
- Win Rate
- 0.50
- Goals For Per Game
- 1.63
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.50
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.40
- League Rank
- 8.00
Match-wide factors
- League Avg Goals Per Game
- 1.46
- League Home Advantage Factor
- 1.33
- H2h Home Advantage
- 0.00
- Dixon Coles Rho
- -0.10
- Expected Goals Home
- 1.09
- Expected Goals Away
- 2.24
- Sample Size Factor
- 1.00