ChampionshipScheduled

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC

Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM · iPro Stadium

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 42%
Derby County FC 29%Draw 30%Wrexham AFC 42%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: No

Derby County FC go into this match 22nd in the table, with Wrexham AFC sitting 14th. Derby County FC have won 13% of their league games this season, compared with 25% for Wrexham AFC. Over their most recent matches, Derby County FC have picked up 27% of the available points, against 53% for Wrexham AFC. Derby County FC are scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Wrexham AFC are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Derby County FC

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.13
Goals For Per Game
0.88
Goals Against Per Game
1.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
22.00

Wrexham AFC

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.13
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
14.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.46
League Home Advantage Factor
1.33
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.09
Expected Goals Away
1.37
Sample Size Factor
1.00