ChampionshipFinished

Millwall FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC

Sat, Sep 5, 5:00 PM · The Den · Referee: Will Finnie

Final score
4-0

Half-time 1-0

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 35%
Millwall FC 44%Draw 27%Bolton Wanderers FC 29%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Millwall FC go into this match 11th in the table, with Bolton Wanderers FC sitting 16th. Millwall FC have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 25% for Bolton Wanderers FC. Over their most recent matches, Millwall FC have picked up 50% of the available points, against 33% for Bolton Wanderers FC. Millwall FC are scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals per game, while Bolton Wanderers FC are scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Millwall FC

Form
0.50
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
11.00

Bolton Wanderers FC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.25
League Rank
16.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.47
League Home Advantage Factor
1.26
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.60
Expected Goals Away
1.27
Sample Size Factor
0.80