ChampionshipScheduled

Southampton FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC

Sat, Oct 17, 5:00 PM · St. Mary's Stadium

Predicted score
4-1
Confidence 86%
Southampton FC 86%Draw 8%Bolton Wanderers FC 5%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Southampton FC go into this match 4th in the table, with Bolton Wanderers FC sitting 15th. Southampton FC have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 38% for Bolton Wanderers FC. Over their most recent matches, Southampton FC have picked up 53% of the available points, against 40% for Bolton Wanderers FC. Southampton FC are scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Bolton Wanderers FC are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Southampton FC

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
2.38
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
4.00

Bolton Wanderers FC

Form
0.40
Win Rate
0.38
Goals For Per Game
1.38
Goals Against Per Game
1.88
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
15.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.46
League Home Advantage Factor
1.33
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
4.13
Expected Goals Away
1.13
Sample Size Factor
1.00