ChampionshipScheduled
Southampton FC vs Derby County FC
Sat, Nov 21, 3:30 PM · St. Mary's Stadium
Predicted score
Confidence 95%4-0
Southampton FC 95%Draw 3%Derby County FC 1%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes
Southampton FC go into this match 1st in the table, with Derby County FC sitting 23rd. Southampton FC have won 57% of their league games this season, compared with 13% for Derby County FC. Over their most recent matches, Southampton FC have picked up 73% of the available points, against 27% for Derby County FC. Southampton FC are scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.0 goals per game, while Derby County FC are scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.0.
How this was predicted
Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.
Southampton FC
- Form
- 0.73
- Win Rate
- 0.57
- Goals For Per Game
- 2.07
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.00
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.40
- League Rank
- 1.00
Derby County FC
- Form
- 0.27
- Win Rate
- 0.13
- Goals For Per Game
- 0.93
- Goals Against Per Game
- 2.00
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.00
- League Rank
- 23.00
Match-wide factors
- League Avg Goals Per Game
- 1.47
- League Home Advantage Factor
- 1.59
- H2h Home Advantage
- 0.00
- Dixon Coles Rho
- -0.10
- Expected Goals Home
- 4.91
- Expected Goals Away
- 0.58
- Sample Size Factor
- 1.00