ChampionshipScheduled

Southampton FC vs Portsmouth FC

Sun, Oct 11, 2:00 PM · St. Mary's Stadium

Predicted score
3-1
Confidence 78%
Southampton FC 78%Draw 13%Portsmouth FC 8%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Southampton FC go into this match 4th in the table, with Portsmouth FC sitting 19th. Southampton FC have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 29% for Portsmouth FC. Over their most recent matches, Southampton FC have picked up 53% of the available points, against 33% for Portsmouth FC. Southampton FC are scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Portsmouth FC are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Southampton FC

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
2.38
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
4.00

Portsmouth FC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.29
Goals Against Per Game
1.43
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
19.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.46
League Home Advantage Factor
1.33
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
3.14
Expected Goals Away
1.03
Sample Size Factor
1.00