ChampionshipFinished

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC

Sat, Sep 12, 5:00 PM · Vicarage Road Stadium · Referee: Lewis Smith

Final score
1-2

Half-time 0-1

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 46%
Watford FC 46%Draw 27%Stoke City FC 27%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Watford FC go into this match 13th in the table, with Stoke City FC sitting 15th. Watford FC have won 33% of their league games this season, compared with 33% for Stoke City FC. Over their most recent matches, Watford FC have picked up 33% of the available points, against 47% for Stoke City FC. Watford FC are scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals per game, while Stoke City FC are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Watford FC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.17
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
13.00

Stoke City FC

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
1.67
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
15.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.44
League Home Advantage Factor
1.52
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.64
Expected Goals Away
1.20
Sample Size Factor
1.00