ChampionshipFinished

West Ham United FC vs Derby County FC

Sat, Sep 5, 5:00 PM · London Stadium · Referee: Oliver Langford

Final score
3-0

Half-time 1-0

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 54%
West Ham United FC 68%Draw 17%Derby County FC 15%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

West Ham United FC go into this match 13th in the table, with Derby County FC sitting 17th. West Ham United FC have won 25% of their league games this season, compared with 25% for Derby County FC. Over their most recent matches, West Ham United FC have picked up 42% of the available points, against 33% for Derby County FC. West Ham United FC are scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Derby County FC are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

West Ham United FC

Form
0.42
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
2.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
13.00

Derby County FC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.25
Goals Against Per Game
1.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.25
League Rank
17.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.47
League Home Advantage Factor
1.26
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.89
Expected Goals Away
1.39
Sample Size Factor
0.80