EredivisieScheduled

AFC Ajax vs AZ

Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM · Johan Cruyff ArenA

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 43%
AFC Ajax 43%Draw 24%AZ 33%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

AFC Ajax go into this match 5th in the table, with AZ sitting 3rd. AFC Ajax have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 75% for AZ. Over their most recent matches, AFC Ajax have picked up 53% of the available points, against 67% for AZ. AFC Ajax are scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while AZ are scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

AFC Ajax

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
2.75
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
5.00

AZ

Form
0.67
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
2.25
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
3.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.86
League Home Advantage Factor
1.25
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.87
Expected Goals Away
1.61
Sample Size Factor
1.00