EredivisieScheduled

AFC Ajax vs NEC

Sat, Oct 10, 10:00 PM · Johan Cruyff ArenA

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 75%
AFC Ajax 75%Draw 15%NEC 10%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

AFC Ajax go into this match 5th in the table, with NEC sitting 11th. AFC Ajax have won 57% of their league games this season, compared with 29% for NEC. Over their most recent matches, AFC Ajax have picked up 67% of the available points, against 33% for NEC. AFC Ajax are scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.3 goals per game, while NEC are scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.9.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

AFC Ajax

Form
0.67
Win Rate
0.57
Goals For Per Game
3.00
Goals Against Per Game
1.29
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

NEC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.71
Goals Against Per Game
1.86
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
11.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.90
League Home Advantage Factor
0.95
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.95
Expected Goals Away
1.08
Sample Size Factor
1.00