EredivisieFinished

AFC Ajax vs PSV

Sat, Sep 5, 9:00 PM · Johan Cruyff ArenA · Referee: Sander Van der Eijk

Final score
1-3

Half-time 1-2

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 23%
AFC Ajax 34%Draw 28%PSV 38%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

AFC Ajax go into this match 4th in the table, with PSV sitting 2nd. AFC Ajax have won 67% of their league games this season, compared with 75% for PSV. Over their most recent matches, AFC Ajax have picked up 78% of the available points, against 83% for PSV. AFC Ajax are scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 goals per game, while PSV are scoring 3.8 and conceding 1.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

AFC Ajax

Form
0.78
Win Rate
0.67
Goals For Per Game
2.67
Goals Against Per Game
0.67
Clean Sheet Rate
0.67
League Rank
4.00

PSV

Form
0.83
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
3.75
Goals Against Per Game
1.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
2.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.01
League Home Advantage Factor
0.73
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.34
Expected Goals Away
1.41
Sample Size Factor
0.60