EredivisieScheduled

AZ vs FC Groningen

Sun, Nov 8, 6:45 PM · AFAS Stadion

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 65%
AZ 65%Draw 18%FC Groningen 17%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

AZ go into this match 2nd in the table, with FC Groningen sitting 8th. AZ have won 67% of their league games this season, compared with 44% for FC Groningen. Over their most recent matches, AZ have picked up 53% of the available points, against 53% for FC Groningen. AZ are scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 goals per game, while FC Groningen are scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.1.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

AZ

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.67
Goals For Per Game
2.22
Goals Against Per Game
1.11
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
2.00

FC Groningen

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.44
Goals For Per Game
2.44
Goals Against Per Game
2.11
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.94
League Home Advantage Factor
1.13
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.78
Expected Goals Away
1.42
Sample Size Factor
1.00