EredivisieFinished

AZ vs Willem II Tilburg

Fri, Sep 11, 9:00 PM · AFAS Stadion · Referee: Martin van den Kerkhof

Final score
1-1

Half-time 1-0

Predicted score
4-0
Confidence 76%
AZ 95%Draw 3%Willem II Tilburg 1%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

AZ go into this match 1st in the table, with Willem II Tilburg sitting 17th. AZ have won 100% of their league games this season, compared with 0% for Willem II Tilburg. Over their most recent matches, AZ have picked up 100% of the available points, against 8% for Willem II Tilburg. AZ are scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.0 goals per game, while Willem II Tilburg are scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

AZ

Form
1.00
Win Rate
1.00
Goals For Per Game
3.20
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
1.00

Willem II Tilburg

Form
0.08
Win Rate
0.00
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
3.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
17.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.01
League Home Advantage Factor
0.72
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
4.49
Expected Goals Away
0.41
Sample Size Factor
0.80