EredivisieScheduled

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard

Sun, Oct 18, 9:00 PM · Goffertstadion

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 44%
NEC 32%Draw 24%Fortuna Sittard 44%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

NEC go into this match 11th in the table, with Fortuna Sittard sitting 6th. NEC have won 29% of their league games this season, compared with 57% for Fortuna Sittard. Over their most recent matches, NEC have picked up 33% of the available points, against 60% for Fortuna Sittard. NEC are scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.9 goals per game, while Fortuna Sittard are scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

NEC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
1.71
Goals Against Per Game
1.86
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
11.00

Fortuna Sittard

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.57
Goals For Per Game
1.86
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
6.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.90
League Home Advantage Factor
0.95
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.59
Expected Goals Away
1.88
Sample Size Factor
1.00