EredivisieFinished

NEC vs SBV Excelsior

Tue, Sep 8, 7:45 PM · Goffertstadion · Referee: Erwin Blank

Final score
2-2

Half-time 1-1

Predicted score
0-2
Confidence 61%
NEC 6%Draw 17%SBV Excelsior 77%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

NEC go into this match 10th in the table, with SBV Excelsior sitting 5th. NEC have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 75% for SBV Excelsior. Over their most recent matches, NEC have picked up 50% of the available points, against 75% for SBV Excelsior. NEC are scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while SBV Excelsior are scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

NEC

Form
0.50
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
2.25
Goals Against Per Game
1.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
10.00

SBV Excelsior

Form
0.75
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
2.50
Goals Against Per Game
0.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
5.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.02
League Home Advantage Factor
0.69
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.58
Expected Goals Away
2.38
Sample Size Factor
0.80