EredivisieFinished

SC Heerenveen vs AZ

Sun, Sep 6, 3:30 PM · Abe Lenstra Stadion · Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Final score
2-3

Half-time 2-1

Predicted score
0-2
Confidence 72%
SC Heerenveen 2%Draw 9%AZ 89%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

SC Heerenveen go into this match 12th in the table, with AZ sitting 2nd. SC Heerenveen have won 25% of their league games this season, compared with 100% for AZ. Over their most recent matches, SC Heerenveen have picked up 42% of the available points, against 100% for AZ. SC Heerenveen are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 goals per game, while AZ are scoring 3.3 and conceding 0.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

SC Heerenveen

Form
0.42
Win Rate
0.25
Goals For Per Game
1.25
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.25
League Rank
12.00

AZ

Form
1.00
Win Rate
1.00
Goals For Per Game
3.25
Goals Against Per Game
0.75
Clean Sheet Rate
0.50
League Rank
2.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
2.00
League Home Advantage Factor
0.64
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.29
Expected Goals Away
2.92
Sample Size Factor
0.80