Ligue 1Scheduled

ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille

Sun, Oct 11, 9:45 PM · Stade de l'Aube

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 55%
ES Troyes AC 20%Draw 24%Olympique de Marseille 55%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

ES Troyes AC go into this match 16th in the table, with Olympique de Marseille sitting 17th. ES Troyes AC have won 20% of their league games this season, compared with 20% for Olympique de Marseille. Over their most recent matches, ES Troyes AC have picked up 27% of the available points, against 20% for Olympique de Marseille. ES Troyes AC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 goals per game, while Olympique de Marseille are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

ES Troyes AC

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
0.80
Goals Against Per Game
2.20
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
16.00

Olympique de Marseille

Form
0.20
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
1.40
Goals Against Per Game
1.60
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
17.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.42
League Home Advantage Factor
1.33
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.09
Expected Goals Away
1.91
Sample Size Factor
1.00