Premier LeagueScheduled

Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC

Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM · Villa Park

Predicted score
0-2
Confidence 84%
Aston Villa FC 4%Draw 13%Brentford FC 84%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Aston Villa FC go into this match 16th in the table, with Brentford FC sitting 4th. Aston Villa FC have won 20% of their league games this season, compared with 40% for Brentford FC. Over their most recent matches, Aston Villa FC have picked up 47% of the available points, against 60% for Brentford FC. Aston Villa FC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Brentford FC are scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Aston Villa FC

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
0.80
Goals Against Per Game
1.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
16.00

Brentford FC

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.40
Goals For Per Game
2.00
Goals Against Per Game
0.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
4.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
0.97
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.44
Expected Goals Away
2.66
Sample Size Factor
1.00