Premier LeagueScheduled

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC

Sat, Oct 24, 2:30 PM · Villa Park

Predicted score
0-3
Confidence 92%
Aston Villa FC 2%Draw 6%Manchester City FC 92%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Aston Villa FC go into this match 16th in the table, with Manchester City FC sitting 1st. Aston Villa FC have won 20% of their league games this season, compared with 100% for Manchester City FC. Over their most recent matches, Aston Villa FC have picked up 47% of the available points, against 100% for Manchester City FC. Aston Villa FC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Manchester City FC are scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Aston Villa FC

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
0.80
Goals Against Per Game
1.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
16.00

Manchester City FC

Form
1.00
Win Rate
1.00
Goals For Per Game
2.60
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
1.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
1.05
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.59
Expected Goals Away
3.98
Sample Size Factor
1.00