Premier LeagueScheduled

Aston Villa FC vs Sunderland AFC

Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM · Villa Park

Predicted score
2-0
Confidence 79%
Aston Villa FC 79%Draw 14%Sunderland AFC 6%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Aston Villa FC go into this match 12th in the table, with Sunderland AFC sitting 20th. Aston Villa FC have won 33% of their league games this season, compared with 11% for Sunderland AFC. Over their most recent matches, Aston Villa FC have picked up 67% of the available points, against 7% for Sunderland AFC. Aston Villa FC are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, while Sunderland AFC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Aston Villa FC

Form
0.67
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.11
Goals Against Per Game
1.44
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
12.00

Sunderland AFC

Form
0.07
Win Rate
0.11
Goals For Per Game
0.78
Goals Against Per Game
1.89
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
20.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.34
League Home Advantage Factor
1.63
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.72
Expected Goals Away
0.70
Sample Size Factor
1.00