Premier LeagueScheduled

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC

Sun, Nov 8, 7:30 PM · Old Trafford

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 38%
Manchester United FC 35%Draw 27%Aston Villa FC 38%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Manchester United FC go into this match 16th in the table, with Aston Villa FC sitting 8th. Manchester United FC have won 13% of their league games this season, compared with 38% for Aston Villa FC. Over their most recent matches, Manchester United FC have picked up 13% of the available points, against 87% for Aston Villa FC. Manchester United FC are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 goals per game, while Aston Villa FC are scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Manchester United FC

Form
0.13
Win Rate
0.13
Goals For Per Game
1.25
Goals Against Per Game
1.63
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
16.00

Aston Villa FC

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.38
Goals For Per Game
1.13
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
1.25
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.42
Expected Goals Away
1.49
Sample Size Factor
1.00