Premier LeagueScheduled

Newcastle United FC vs Arsenal FC

Sat, Nov 21, 8:30 PM · St. James' Park

Predicted score
0-2
Confidence 68%
Newcastle United FC 11%Draw 21%Arsenal FC 68%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Newcastle United FC go into this match 11th in the table, with Arsenal FC sitting 1st. Newcastle United FC have won 30% of their league games this season, compared with 90% for Arsenal FC. Over their most recent matches, Newcastle United FC have picked up 27% of the available points, against 87% for Arsenal FC. Newcastle United FC are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 goals per game, while Arsenal FC are scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Newcastle United FC

Form
0.27
Win Rate
0.30
Goals For Per Game
1.30
Goals Against Per Game
1.60
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
11.00

Arsenal FC

Form
0.87
Win Rate
0.90
Goals For Per Game
1.50
Goals Against Per Game
0.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
1.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.34
League Home Advantage Factor
1.63
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.72
Expected Goals Away
2.06
Sample Size Factor
1.00