Premier LeagueScheduled

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC

Sat, Oct 17, 7:30 PM · St. James' Park

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 65%
Newcastle United FC 65%Draw 21%Aston Villa FC 15%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Newcastle United FC go into this match 9th in the table, with Aston Villa FC sitting 16th. Newcastle United FC have won 40% of their league games this season, compared with 20% for Aston Villa FC. Over their most recent matches, Newcastle United FC have picked up 53% of the available points, against 47% for Aston Villa FC. Newcastle United FC are scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Aston Villa FC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Newcastle United FC

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.40
Goals For Per Game
1.80
Goals Against Per Game
1.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
9.00

Aston Villa FC

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
0.80
Goals Against Per Game
1.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
16.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
0.97
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.27
Expected Goals Away
1.01
Sample Size Factor
1.00