Premier LeagueScheduled

Nottingham Forest FC vs Arsenal FC

Sun, Oct 18, 6:30 PM · The City Ground

Predicted score
0-1
Confidence 57%
Nottingham Forest FC 11%Draw 32%Arsenal FC 57%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: No

Nottingham Forest FC go into this match 13th in the table, with Arsenal FC sitting 2nd. Nottingham Forest FC have won 20% of their league games this season, compared with 80% for Arsenal FC. Over their most recent matches, Nottingham Forest FC have picked up 33% of the available points, against 80% for Arsenal FC. Nottingham Forest FC are scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 goals per game, while Arsenal FC are scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Nottingham Forest FC

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.20
Goals For Per Game
0.80
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
13.00

Arsenal FC

Form
0.80
Win Rate
0.80
Goals For Per Game
1.60
Goals Against Per Game
0.80
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
2.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
0.97
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
0.41
Expected Goals Away
1.27
Sample Size Factor
1.00