Primeira LigaFinished

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora

Sun, Aug 30, 5:30 PM · Estádio da Madeira · Referee: Carlos Macedo

Final score
2-3

Half-time 1-1

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 20%
CD Nacional 50%Draw 24%CF Estrela da Amadora 26%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

CD Nacional go into this match 8th in the table, with CF Estrela da Amadora sitting 11th. CD Nacional have won 33% of their league games this season, compared with 0% for CF Estrela da Amadora. Over their most recent matches, CD Nacional have picked up 44% of the available points, against 33% for CF Estrela da Amadora. CD Nacional are scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 goals per game, while CF Estrela da Amadora are scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

CD Nacional

Form
0.44
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.33
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.33
League Rank
8.00

CF Estrela da Amadora

Form
0.33
Win Rate
0.00
Goals For Per Game
2.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
11.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.41
League Home Advantage Factor
1.03
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.90
Expected Goals Away
1.32
Sample Size Factor
0.40