Primeira LigaFinished
CD Nacional vs FC Alverca
Sat, Sep 12, 5:30 PM · Estádio da Madeira · Referee: Miguel Fonseca
Final score
1-3
Half-time 0-3
Predicted score
Confidence 48%1-1
CD Nacional 48%Draw 28%FC Alverca 24%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: No
CD Nacional go into this match 11th in the table, with FC Alverca sitting 16th. CD Nacional have won 20% of their league games this season, compared with 0% for FC Alverca. Over their most recent matches, CD Nacional have picked up 27% of the available points, against 13% for FC Alverca. CD Nacional are scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 goals per game, while FC Alverca are scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0.
How this was predicted
Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.
CD Nacional
- Form
- 0.27
- Win Rate
- 0.20
- Goals For Per Game
- 1.20
- Goals Against Per Game
- 1.60
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.20
- League Rank
- 11.00
FC Alverca
- Form
- 0.13
- Win Rate
- 0.00
- Goals For Per Game
- 1.00
- Goals Against Per Game
- 2.00
- Clean Sheet Rate
- 0.00
- League Rank
- 16.00
Match-wide factors
- League Avg Goals Per Game
- 1.32
- League Home Advantage Factor
- 0.93
- H2h Home Advantage
- 0.00
- Dixon Coles Rho
- -0.10
- Expected Goals Home
- 1.53
- Expected Goals Away
- 1.04
- Sample Size Factor
- 1.00