Primeira LigaScheduled

FC Arouca vs CD Nacional

Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Predicted score
1-0
Confidence 64%
FC Arouca 64%Draw 25%CD Nacional 11%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: No

FC Arouca go into this match 5th in the table, with CD Nacional sitting 16th. FC Arouca have won 50% of their league games this season, compared with 13% for CD Nacional. Over their most recent matches, FC Arouca have picked up 47% of the available points, against 0% for CD Nacional. FC Arouca are scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.9 goals per game, while CD Nacional are scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

FC Arouca

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.50
Goals For Per Game
1.38
Goals Against Per Game
0.88
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

CD Nacional

Form
0.00
Win Rate
0.13
Goals For Per Game
1.13
Goals Against Per Game
2.25
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
16.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.37
League Home Advantage Factor
0.78
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.72
Expected Goals Away
0.57
Sample Size Factor
1.00