Primeira LigaScheduled

FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora

Sun, Oct 11, 10:30 PM · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 47%
FC Arouca 47%Draw 24%CF Estrela da Amadora 29%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

FC Arouca go into this match 5th in the table, with CF Estrela da Amadora sitting 8th. FC Arouca have won 43% of their league games this season, compared with 29% for CF Estrela da Amadora. Over their most recent matches, FC Arouca have picked up 47% of the available points, against 53% for CF Estrela da Amadora. FC Arouca are scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals per game, while CF Estrela da Amadora are scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

FC Arouca

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.43
Goals For Per Game
1.43
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
5.00

CF Estrela da Amadora

Form
0.53
Win Rate
0.29
Goals For Per Game
2.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.00
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.37
League Home Advantage Factor
0.93
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.92
Expected Goals Away
1.48
Sample Size Factor
1.00