Primeira LigaFinished

FC Porto vs Moreirense FC

Fri, Sep 4, 10:15 PM · Estádio Do Dragão · Referee: António Nobre

Final score
2-1

Half-time 1-1

Predicted score
3-0
Confidence 58%
FC Porto 97%Draw 2%Moreirense FC 0%
BTTS: NoOver 2.5 goals: Yes

FC Porto go into this match 1st in the table, with Moreirense FC sitting 11th. FC Porto have won 100% of their league games this season, compared with 33% for Moreirense FC. Over their most recent matches, FC Porto have picked up 100% of the available points, against 44% for Moreirense FC. FC Porto are scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.0 goals per game, while Moreirense FC are scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

FC Porto

Form
1.00
Win Rate
1.00
Goals For Per Game
2.25
Goals Against Per Game
0.00
Clean Sheet Rate
1.00
League Rank
1.00

Moreirense FC

Form
0.44
Win Rate
0.33
Goals For Per Game
1.00
Goals Against Per Game
2.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.33
League Rank
11.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.35
League Home Advantage Factor
0.98
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
3.91
Expected Goals Away
0.05
Sample Size Factor
0.60