Primeira LigaScheduled

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca

Mon, Nov 2, 11:15 PM · Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Predicted score
2-1
Confidence 73%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 73%Draw 16%FC Alverca 11%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: Yes

Sport Lisboa e Benfica go into this match 2nd in the table, with FC Alverca sitting 8th. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have won 75% of their league games this season, compared with 38% for FC Alverca. Over their most recent matches, Sport Lisboa e Benfica have picked up 80% of the available points, against 67% for FC Alverca. Sport Lisboa e Benfica are scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.9 goals per game, while FC Alverca are scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Form
0.80
Win Rate
0.75
Goals For Per Game
3.00
Goals Against Per Game
0.88
Clean Sheet Rate
0.60
League Rank
2.00

FC Alverca

Form
0.67
Win Rate
0.38
Goals For Per Game
1.63
Goals Against Per Game
1.50
Clean Sheet Rate
0.20
League Rank
8.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.38
League Home Advantage Factor
0.78
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
2.86
Expected Goals Away
1.10
Sample Size Factor
1.00