Primera DivisionScheduled

Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid

Sat, Oct 10, 5:15 PM · Estadio de Mendizorroza

Predicted score
1-1
Confidence 40%
Deportivo Alavés 31%Draw 29%Club Atlético de Madrid 40%
BTTS: YesOver 2.5 goals: No

Deportivo Alavés go into this match 6th in the table, with Club Atlético de Madrid sitting 2nd. Deportivo Alavés have won 43% of their league games this season, compared with 71% for Club Atlético de Madrid. Over their most recent matches, Deportivo Alavés have picked up 47% of the available points, against 60% for Club Atlético de Madrid. Deportivo Alavés are scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 goals per game, while Club Atlético de Madrid are scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0.

How this was predicted

Every input behind this prediction - nothing here is hardcoded, it's all computed from real match history.

Deportivo Alavés

Form
0.47
Win Rate
0.43
Goals For Per Game
1.57
Goals Against Per Game
0.86
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
6.00

Club Atlético de Madrid

Form
0.60
Win Rate
0.71
Goals For Per Game
2.29
Goals Against Per Game
1.00
Clean Sheet Rate
0.40
League Rank
2.00

Match-wide factors

League Avg Goals Per Game
1.52
League Home Advantage Factor
1.14
H2h Home Advantage
0.00
Dixon Coles Rho
-0.10
Expected Goals Home
1.16
Expected Goals Away
1.34
Sample Size Factor
1.00